Sunday, May 6, 2018

TURN OUT THE LIGHTS

This was a popular song by Teddy Pendergrass, some of the words go like this:  They say that all Good things must end,,,"What a crazy crazy party Never seen so many people Laughing dancing Look at you, you're having fun. But look at me I'm almost cryin",,.So what am I using this context in...There are multiple bubbles about to pop.  So what is a bubble, a bubble is an economic cycle characterized by the rapid escalation of asset prices (real estate, mortgages, autos, insurance, taxes, oil/gasoline,etc...) followed by a contraction. It is created by a surge in asset prices unwarranted by fundamentals of the asset and driven by exuberant market behavior. When no more investors/consumers are willing to buy at the elevated price, a massive sell-off occurs, causing the bubble to deflate.  We have multiple asset bubbles about to pop.

In the Bible there are always forewarners of events before they happen, mostly falling on deaf ears.  Since the beginning of time people have had Normalcy bias which is is a belief people hold when facing a disaster. It causes people to underestimate both the likelihood of a disaster and its possible effects, because people believe that things will always function the way things normally have functioned.  

My job as your Watchman which I have explained to you in the past comes from Ezekiel 33, furthermore as your Watchman my job is to discern what I see and What Yahushua shows me, write the vision, make it plain so whoever reads it will understand the vision,  Habakkuk 2 goes on to say For still the vision awaits its appointed time; it hastens to the end—it will not lie. If it seems slow, wait for it; it will surely come; it will not delay. “Behold, his soul is puffed up; it is not upright within him, but the righteous shall live by his faith. “Moreover, wine is a traitor, an arrogant man who is never at rest. His greed is as wide as Sheol; like death he has never enough. He gathers for himself all nations and collects as his own all peoples.” ...

Now that we got that out of the way what will be some of the triggers. Newton's 1st law is the law of motion which states that an object will stay in a constant plane until an external force is applied to it.  The 2nd law states that acceleration is dependent upon the force and mass of the object. and finally 3rd law is for every action there is an equal and opposite reaction. Lastly the law of gravity is in play simply stated what goes up must come down and don't put your trust in man ( IE... the government, the press, corporations, etc...

1st trigger already in the pipeline. Price of oil and offshoots of this.(everything is dependent on oil, these cost will be passed on to you in higher costs. oil has gone from $43 a barrell to almost $70 and rising,  2nd trigger the USA dollar is rising and strengthening against other currencies, since again we are the prettiest girl at the dance and money flows are coming into the United States just like events before The Great Depression( ie.. the large real estate construction cranes as money is fleeing Europe and other parts of the world because they are on the ropes like a punch drunk fighter before the knockout) which will bring on the 3rd trigger higher interest rates.  I've said before, mortgage rates are based upon the 10 year treasury note , recently we went over 3%, once we close over 3.25%  this will lead to market chaos and at that point interest rates will start to accelerate upwards sharply and at 4% defaults all over the world starting in Europe and contagion spreading.  4th the tariff wars between USA and China but it also affects other friendly countries.

5th trigger the large W shaped pattern in the S&P 500.  The S&P reached an all time on January 26 without going into lots of technical jargon, you will notice that a W has 3 tops and 2 bottoms, in technical stock trading one of two things will happen either we break out to the upside or break to the downside.  But do to all the headwinds and asset bubbles we will break to the downside that's where I'm placing my money. (literallly) 2nd in this pattern in earlier essays I wrote about two things the elclispe over America and what that meant and the number 8 as in 2018 the new beginning and the events that will happen.  Now more about the W pattern from the top on January 26 including 2 bottoms and 2 tops we will complete the 3rd leg of the W in 88 trading days.  There's that 8 again. which is a new beginning.  This is when the markets start to fall including the stock market and crypto markets start to fall, But it will not be until September/October time frame that they will announce we are in a recession.  I will be posting about positions to take and how to profit.  Remember the last will be first and the first will be last. 

See these events have happened before, as Solomon states there is nothing new under the sun, the actors change  but the play remains the same.  As far as the political parties, neither party has an answer, take a coin, it has two sides heads and tails yet its the same coin. 


Lastly to the Pastors "present yourselves as a living sacrifice, acceptable to God which is your reasonable service and be not conformed to this world, but be transformed by the renewing of your mind, that you may prove what is good and acceptable and perfect will of God." What else some Pastors have not been called for this tough job, especially for the coming trials and tribulations. Coming upon us in the near future. Churches get ready, war, tough economic fallout like we have ever witnessed will befall us shortly. "Woe be unto the Pastors that destroy and scatter the sheep",..BUT in these tough times "God will setup Shepherds over them which shall feed them...and they shall be fruitful and increase." Will you be the Church without spots nor wrinkles to proclaim the good tidings, mend the broken hearted and free the captives....I'll bet on the Father, Son and the Holy Spirit..


 

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