Wednesday, April 25, 2018

The Smell is in the Air? Practical Advise


What is it that I am smelling? It smells like arrogance, pridefulness, confidence, complacency before the fall.  The Bible has multiple verses on being prepared.  One such verse comes from Matthew 24 and it states…43 But understand this: If the owner of the house had known at what time of night the thief was coming, he would have kept watch and would not have let his house be broken into. 44 So you also must be ready. In Matthew 25 it states…it will be like ten virgins who took their lamps and went to meet the bridegroom. Five of them were foolish, and five were wise. For when the foolish took their lamps, they took no oil with them, but the wise took flasks of oil with their lamps. As the bridegroom was delayed, they all became drowsy and slept. ... So what am I’m saying, here’s something to ponder, we are in the digital age, hardly anybody carries cash anymore, recently I forgot my wallet, better yet I was roaming around with no gas(old age…lol) most people did’t even have $5.00 but they had a credit card or debit card, based upon this unofficial poll I can gather we are not prepared for a potential wave that is coming upon us.

The problem with emergencies is that they are not predictable and occur without much warning, if any.   The natural disasters and power outages of the past decade have revealed the wisdom of having some cash for an emergency. We can’t always predict when an emergency will arise, but we can prepare for certain problems and circumstances which are likely to arise in emergency situations.  Having cash outside of the banking system is common sense in many ways.  Let’s take three example of last year.   Hurricane Harvey here in Texas and Hurricane Sandy on the east coast and Hurricane Irma in Fl. 

Banking came to an abrupt halt. Most financial transactions in the USA are not accompanied by exchange of physical cash. Transactions are digital, i.e. no physical cash is exchanged for items or services. Transactions usually occur on digital ledgers – most often, debit, credit or otherwise electronic transfers for exchanges.  Millions of people in southern Texas Florida and New Jersey were without electricity.  The power grids was down. Many grocers and service providers would only accept payment in cash, and those few who accepted debit or credit limited the amount of transactions because the provider could not verify electronic payments or available credit without electricity. People had little or no cash and therefore little or no buying power. The people could not obtain their needs.  ATM machines don’t function without electricity. Anyone who might use an ATM to obtain cash, had no access to cash regardless of how much money they had in the bank.  People who had cash could buy groceries and water. Water treatment plants weren’t operating because the power grid was down, so potable water was in short supply. Water could not be boiled if the electric range had no power. Cash was vital to obtain goods and services in the aftermath of Hurricanes Harvey, Irma and Sandy.  Therefore cash was vital to obtain basic necessities of life.

Not all emergencies are storms, power outages, earthquakes and other natural disasters. There are other emergency situations to consider. Recently the stock markets have been extremely volatile. In the past couple of weeks we saw a couple of 700+ point drops in the stock market. These are actually 1000+ point swings.  The decline and the subsequent upside movement is the swing. In the USA, we have a Plunge Protection Team (PPT) whose mandate it is to prevent the crash of the stock market. The problem is that the markets are not operated by humans any more. The stock markets are operated by computers. Humans are not as fast as computers and can’t compete with high frequency trading (HFT). So since computers now control the  markets a crash will happen.  Right after that People will panic and run to their bank and financial institution, that means cash, checking and savings or any other liquid asset. The government will not allow a Great Depression style run on banks again so they will institute bank holidays from the 1933  emergency banking act.(Glass-Steagall Act)  That means a bank will close temporarily, for how long, minimum of 4 days. (Newsflash because of fractional banking your bank only has 10% of actual cash on hand) If you do not have cash at home for supplies, groceries, medicines, gasoline, etc. you may not be able to get cash or purchase your needs. Debit and credit will not work and electronic transactions will not process or clear during a banking holiday. You may be able to get some cash from an ATM because ATMs are designed to operate when banks are closed. The problem is that when the ATM is empty, it will not be restocked with cash if the bank is still closed.

These days, banks aren’t paying much in the way of interest. Even worse, a bank depositor is a unsecured creditor for the bank’s obligations due to the laws enacted as a result of the crash of 2008.  OK you will say my money is insured up to 250K by the FDIC. Yes you are, but nowhere in the language does it state how long you will be without your money.  Duh!!!.  The FDIC/FSLIC will guarantee the money (with limits) for individual bank failures, but will not and cannot protect depositors against a systemic failure. Bailouts for the banking system are not possible for the government now, and bail-ins of depositors money will likely occur due to the laws put into place to protect the banks. This means a depositor gets their money last in the event of a bank failure.  When Wachovia Bank the 4th largest bank in the USA went under in 2008, it happened on a weekend, but was bought by Wells Fargo, but what would have happened if Wells Fargo not stepped in.

So how much should you keep at home, for most families a min of $150 for 3 days maybe more.  It’s not for a big screen TV or something else a chicken head or clucker would think of.  Forget about the money and stash it. Now where, think of the following things, theft, fire, rot.  Also think of dollar denominations of $5,$10 and $20 not $100’s because $100’s are not practical for everyday transactions.  As the preparedness expression goes, “it is better to be safe than sorry” Imagine, what you would do right now, if you could only buy with the cash you had right at this moment for the next 3 to 5 days?  So we must be ready for anything in these times because things happen like a thief in the night.  Something is smelling in the air many have believed the hype of the Deep State, but are not prepared for the coming onslaught of waves.  Many of you are being deceived, things are not right.  Our leaders can’t and won’t tell the truth our problems are to huge, the day of reckoning is at hand.  Things are and will exceedingly get worse.  

Now to the Pastors wake up and preach the for real WORD, and practical word, for the people will be coming in droves and will have no money, but only fear which is faith turned inside out.  The trumpets are sounding , can you hear the trumpets, don’t let the cares of this world drown out your spiritual hearing and eyes.  Whose report do you believe, Yahshua is raising up everyday people to sound the alarms.  For the wrath of God is being revealed against them that suppress the truth.  For God has shown it to them and to you.  Have your eyes become dark and foolish, professing to be wise but actually foolish.  Here I am crying from the wilderness can you hear me?  Do a risk/benefit analysis of the things that I am saying.  I’ve said this before only 3 possible scenarios. Revival of the good ole days of hustle and flow, Stagflation which we are in now and full out bust, Pop goes the Weasel or the great economic bust.  You decide before each wave gets larger and larger before overtaking you and you drown.

The Progressive Watchman: The Progressive Watchman: THE FLOOD

The Progressive Watchman: The Progressive Watchman: THE FLOOD: The Progressive Watchman: THE FLOOD : July 23,2017 THE FLOOD       Just think of the Federal Reserve as a dam, we've had a lot of r...

Tuesday, April 24, 2018

The Progressive Watchman: THE FLOOD

The Progressive Watchman: THE FLOOD: July 23,2017 THE FLOOD       Just think of the Federal Reserve as a dam, we've had a lot of rain, the rivers and creeks are swellin...

Monday, April 23, 2018

A FISH ROTS FROM THE HEAD DOWN

A Fish Rots from the Head Down is an ancient phrase, means that leadership is the root cause of an organizations failure and demise. This is true whether that organization is a country, or a company.  In this text means the fall of the United States and the rise of China. I wrote about China wanting to recreate the Silk road trade routes "ONE BELT ONE ROAD", this is an ambitious plan by China to link 70% of the worlds population and 28% of world GDP by a network of highways, railways and pipelines linking Asia via the Middle East to Europe and south through Africa. . 

This vision contrasts starkly with President Trump, who can't pass his own $1 trillion plan to rebuild the nation’s crumbling roads, bridges and electricity grid, despite the vast majority of Americans recognizing the urgent need. Trump’s nixing of American involvement in the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade agreement, and open questioning of key Asian alliances, have weakened the U.S. as a Pacific power. Trump’s stalled attempts to renegotiate NAFTA have irked neighbors Canada and Mexico, while his announcement of America’s withdrawal from the Paris climate accord has left the world looking to China for leadership on this and other issues. 

I've said in the past to make America great again requires incentives to big corporations to bring manufacturing back to the United States which will take years, plus it requires cooperation between both Republicans and Democrats to see a single vision, but unfortunately this is not going to happen until there is a full scale crisis.  One crisis is to  demonize Russia, China, Syria and North Korea with our full frontal propaganda machine on all fronts


I've said before event after event will take place and will come in multiple waves with each one getting bigger and bigger.  Trump is following the Deep States wishes.  Take Syria for example, We attacked them unjustifiable on false reports that Assad gassed his own people.  Then Russia was notified in advance of where and when the U.S. would attack, allowing time for the “enemy”—whoever they are—to make themselves scarce because they suddenly pulled all of their ships out of Syrian waters.The Trumpster had an opportunity to show what a tough, decisive leader he is without doing any real harm. It was all for the benefit of the fans… and, of course, the Deep State.


Let's reverse the circumstances what if China and Russia wanted to bomb the USA for the Police using weapons on the unarmed Blacks in Ferguson MO after Blacks rioted for police brutality.  There are reports that there is a huge Oil deposit in the Israeli occupied area of Syria that Haliburton found when we disposed of Saddam Hussein the strongman who kept the Islamic terrorist in check for the USA but we turned on him like a snake for Dick Cheney's Halliburton so now we need to invade Syria to justify an investment there to extract the oil.  

Why didn't we bomb North Korea, because there is no money to be made there no matter what the "Lil Rocketman" does to his own people.  Eventually China will awaken after Trump pisses them off with his tariffs and two he messes with the planned reopening of the planned "Silk Road" that unites 70% of the worlds population center and they do something they never do send troops into the area to protect their investment.. Remember Syria is the cross roads between Asia and Africa since ancient times.  In the meantime before the war, economic collapse which will start in Europe and contagion quickly spreads here to the USA, the seeds have been planted the harvest will be soon as early as mid May 2018 but most likely starting in the September/October  2018 time frame. Before I get into the facts just curious I wonder why the Bible in the Old Testament writes about a JUBILEE  for the forgiveness of debts..hmm, debts have been a problem since the beginning of time? Who are we to contradict the Bible? surely God's thought are not our thoughts?

  FACTS: ( We have 13 governments now who are already in default of their debt payments. There are more than 100 nations who are on the verge of a debt crisis. The rise in US interest rates and the strength behind the dollar pushes these nations over the edge, THEREFORE CONTAGION ENSUES) Then we have the Biblical War mentioned in the Bible and the Koran, the battle of Gog and Magog. So what brings on the war "it's all about the Benjamin's ....follow the money" silly people of the USA you've been hoodwinked, bamboozled, led astray like sheep to the slaughter. Ole Foolish Galatians who has bewitched you.  
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Sunday, April 15, 2018

THE BIG LIE



PT Barnum will ever be immortalized for two things. 1st the saying of there is a sucka born every minute and 2nd for being credited as “The Greatest Showman” ever.  One of his scams was he had the oldest living natural wonder woman ever, she was supposedly a 161 years old Black slave that was supposedly George Washuington’s nanny but in realty after the autopsy she was just 80, but the fact remained he suckered countless fans.  This brings me to the DEEP STATE, TRUMP,PUTIN AND LIL ROCKET MAN as Trump calls the North Korean leader.  Now the facts: USA vs Russia
What is clear is that the United States historically has been one of the biggest liars ever.  Remember my premise EVERYTHING WE SEE, HEAR AND READ IS A LIE. OR TELL A LIE LONG ENOUGH IT BECOMES THE TRUTH.   Now our lies threaten world peace.  There is evidence that every single war we have ever been in is a lie.  the invasion of Iraq because they had weapons of mass destruction when it was all about oil and making money for Dick Cheney’s friends. Sadly, George Bush Jr will go down in history for being the aggressor, when it would be a miracle if he even knew where Iraq was to begin with.  Or what about Bin Laden had cronies strike the world trade center in New York City when clearly it was an implosion from the ground up, newsflash if you know anything about physics and building construction, high rise buildings are type 1 fire resistance made of steel and fire resistant concrete so therefore planes hitting a tower 100 stories up would not make a building fall,  Then there was the fake news that Vietnam attacked the USA. Even Lyndon Johnson lied to the nation on TV and privately said the Americans were probably shooting at whales that night not a Vietnamese attack.  Even the sinking of the Lusitania was a deliberate act by the USA to enter World War 1.  Operation Northwood during the Kennedy era was a CIA operation where American citizens were killed and blamed on Cuba. Now comes Syria, on March 29th the Trumpster announced the USA was leaving Syria, funny  thing happened a couple days later supposedly Syria and Russia gas people...WOW...SMELLS,,,Every single war has been started with fake news all so some in the Military get to play with their toys no matter how many boys die for their games.
The Bible talks about binding the strongman and what happens when the strongman is removed, a vacuum is created and the state is worst than before.  Saddam Hussein was the strong man in the middle east he kept radical Islam in check, but we removed him for the greed of money.
Now the big questions are, is it our job to police what goes on in the world? Do we have a divine right to intervene in internal politics or civil wars in other countries? Why aren’t we sending in our military when in Portugal they are slaughtering their own people because people are protesting against high unemployment, taxes and want to succeed from Portugal's  rule?  When did the American people give the OK to lower our standard of living to fund the military to police the world? Why do we have to push freedoms and democracy when we don’t have it over here?  So self righteous and hypocritical with our prideful arrogant selves.
The military establishment looks in the mirror and sees only that they wear a white hat. They have destroyed the American dream and do not even know it.They have sacrificed the American standard of living to fund their wars while the DEEP STATE lines their pockets and we the American people believe the narrative  being PT Barnumed to us. (SUCKAS)   True, they defended the people against Hitler but there is no threat of an invasion by Russia or China anywhere in the world.  Especially Russia, they are not looking to invade squat.  We all know it’s about FOLLOW THE MONEY…IT'S ABOUT THE COMPETING PIPELINES WITH SYRIA BEING THE CROSSROADS one backed by Russia and the other USA backed that will feed Europe oil and gas in a more economical cost structure.
You know Kennedy was assassinated for going against the grain of the military and the banksters, he openly questioned why we were funding ,building and maintaining  military bases all over the world.  Better yet he openly questioned raising taxes on the American people plus wanting a precious metals backed dollar so the banksters couldn't print money into oblivion.  AGAIN FOLLOW THE MONEY. So how does a chemical weapon attack inside Syria justify US involvement? It does not. The United Nations definition of an aggressor is a use of force against another sovereign nation. Not an internal civil war. There is no absolute proof that the Syrian government even used chemical weapons. The mercenaries know the game. Like Operation Northwoods, if they kill their own people and blame Syria, then the USA will rush in and support the Islamic terrorists. We are played for fools as always by the Deep State. Today it is being reported the USA, France and UK unleashed 100 Tomahawk missiles into three empty suspected chemical plants, nobody was killed , then it is reported Syrians then danced in the streets.  This attack was only the Trumpster pulling out and waving is BIG USELESS THANG...LOL... MY THANG IS BIGGER THAN YOUR THANG...LOL

History is littered with defeats when a country is stretched to the gills on multiple fronts.  Both Napoleon, Hitler, as well as Japan, all lost in war because they waged conflicts on too many fronts. When you piss off the world, you end up with too many enemies and the old saying that two enemies will unite whenever they have a common enemy.  By the UN’s definition we have no business fooling with Syria, better yet who knows history, who understands Syria’s role in the battle of Gog vs Magog mentioned in the Bible and the Koran and the end times. 

Thursday, April 12, 2018

TIME FIGURED OUT MAYBE?


And it shall come to pass in the last days, saith God, I will pour out My Spirit upon all flesh; and your sons and your daughters shall prophesy, and your young men shall see visions, and your old men shall dream dreams. Even the mystery which hath been hid from ages and from generations, but now is made manifest to his saints: Let’s break down the times:  The Word says we should know the times and the seasons we live in.  When the disciples asked Yahushua (Jesus) what will be the end times one of the things he said there would be rumors of wars and nation against nation and there will be famines, pestilences, and earthquakes in various places. All these are the beginning of sorrows   We also know that Syria plays an important role in the Bible and also in the Koran.  He also said many would be deceived even the elect and it would be just like in the times of Noah.  Only in the 20th century have we seen two World Wars where nations fought against nations. 

In one of Yahushua’s parables he talks about the Fig tree as the sign of His coming. “When its branch has already become tender and puts forth leaves, you know that summer is near.  So you also, when you see all these things, know that it is near–at the doors!  Assuredly, I say to you, this generation will by no means pass away till all these things take place”.  The fig tree is Israel which sprouted leaves in 1948…there’s that 8 again. Now we know that Israel was destroyed twice by the Romans in 70AD and 135AD and for 1900 hundred years the land was cursed and barren until in a day Israel was born again my edict of the United Nations in May 14, 1948 which was cut out of Palestine and Syria.  Then the land started to bring forth fruit again evidenced by amount of rainfall that Israel received.  Then the Jews started coming back to Israel from all over the globe. 

Now that we know what the fig tree represents what is a generation part of the fig tree parable. In Psalms 90:10 it states “ The days of our lives are seventy years; And if by reason of strength they are eighty years, Yet their boast is only labor and sorrow; For it is soon cut off, and we fly away”.   So let’s break it down further, a generation begins with the birth of an offspring.     If we talk about my parents’ generation span it is the people group born around the similar time as them.  I am not in my parents’ generation – I am the second generation and my kids are the 3rd generation, but there is overlapping of all three generations.  Breaking this down further y'all know ai love math,,  ISRAEL BORN May 14, 1948 + 70 = 2018 and sometimes 80 = 2028.  So we can surmise that based upon the events going on in Syria (see essay Syria and WW3 written April 10, 2018) now with Trump and Putin using war which can start sometime as early as April 22 to May 14th 2018 which is Nissan 14 in the old Hebrew calendar based upon different moon constellations.

We can also surmise true Passover starts around April 29th.  Another thing confirmation of the April 20 target date because after the markets close that Friday, the final deployment of U.S. forces will be arriving in the Middle East and estimated to complete their final preparations by Sunday, April 22, just in time for the markets to open on Monday, April 23.  So there is no telling what we will wake up to on Monday April 23. 
As your Watchman, I can only present what I see and discern present the facts without “Willful Blindness nor Normalcy Bias” and let you connect the dots whether you like what I have to say or not. 

“Constantly be on your guard so that your hearts may not be loaded down with self-indulgence, drunkenness, and the worries of this life, or that day will take you by surprise like a trap. For it will come on all who live on the face of the earth. So be alert at all times, praying that you may have strength to escape all these things that are going to take place and to take your stand in the presence of the Son of Man.”  Get ready be prepared before the waves overtake you, for you may not have much time because the Deep State has come with their false flag event to lie, steal kill and destroy like a thief in the night ole foolish Galatians.

Tuesday, April 10, 2018

SYRIA AND WW3


Our Deep State industrial Military Complex is selling WAR Weapons, materials to both sides. War is Money....I also submit to you that every PRESIDENT since Franklin D Roosevelt has been bought off by the Deep State our 4th branch of Government including President Obama and now Trump. Wars and rumors of wars is in the air. We are being programmed and desensitized daily and nobody cares. .it's been said insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result. The Deep State was a liar from the beginning, their job is to lie, steal and destroy all at our expense....TELL A LIE LONG ENOUGH IT BECOMES THE TRUTH.

Here's the Truth, but first a history lesson.  When World War 3 breaks out it will be in Syria. Why Syria, comes out of the old Assyrians in the Bible. It is the crossroads between Asia and the West. The Assyrian empire back in the day was a warrior society model and produced the most fearsome warriors of it’s time. They used chariots,iron weapons and siege equipment long before their piers to dominate their enemies. Assyria was located between the Tigris and Euphrates Rivers. This place is mentioned in the Christian Bible and the Islamic Koran for the battle of Gog and Magog. Now this place is a focal point of strife between United States and Russia. Is this a coincidence I don't think so.  
     Syria has always been strategic throughout recorded history. You had to pass through it between Babylon and Egypt. However, as world trade began to emerge, the connections between China and the ancient Roman Empire were fully developed through the Silk Road. Spices were always worth their weight in gold and even during the Middle Ages, bankers were called “pepper-men” because pepper was more valuable than gold by weight.
     After the death of Alexander the Great, Syria was divided up among his generals and the city Antioch was founded.  Antioch quickly rose to become the Syrian capital. Antioch flourished due to trade. Caravan merchants began to bring goods from China to the marketplace in Antioch. This was the beginning of the Silk Road in ancient times. Antioch benefited from Roman rule, it is also mentioned countless times in the New Testament, tradition holds that the first Gentile church was founded in Antioch, (Acts 11:20-21), where it is recorded that the disciples of Yahushua (Jesus Christ) were first called Christians :(Acts 11:19-26). It was from Antioch that Paul started on his missionary journeys.
     There is hard evidence which demonstrates that there was direct contact between Rome and China going back to the period of early Roman times. The connection point between East and West has ALWAYS been Syria. China is also backing Syria with money. The Chinese are looking to build on the old world power position of the historic Silk Road (One belt, one road). China has never actively participated in the war militarily but has ensured financing their goals. Syria maintains close economic relations with Russia and China because of the stupidity of the Western world.
     As strange as it might sound, China has more skin-in-the-game with Syria than Russia. The Russians had to intervene after (1) the US was conspiring with Qatar to get a pipeline through Syria to compete with Russia selling energy to Europe, and when became apparent that the international and Islamist mercenaries also posed a threat to Southern Russia. Russia and China clearly complement each other on the worldwide stage of politics. Both suffered Communist revolutions and they are the most important security players in that part of the world. China has provided the economic security while Russia provides the military security.    . 

The smell test, a picture is worth a thousand words.  

Syria

Part 2 of the story is the United States imposed sanctions on Russia for interference in the 2016 US presidential campaign. Russia's stock market is about to crash.  The Russian government will retaliate against the tightened US sanctions. Clearly, the actions of the Congress are unjustified and intended to provoke a confrontation.  Now the Deep State just did a false flag event in Syria of another chemical attack and our hothead easily influenced knucklehead leader is falling in the old PT Barnum axiom of a SUCKA IS BORN EVERY MINUTE.  Now the Sucka has pledge forceful US response.  In fact the US just deployed the Truman strike group and 7 warships to the Mediterranean region within 150 miles of Syria and Putin is furious because we did not give customary notice of being in the area.  Oh I forgot to mention that Iran is threatening to start their nuclear enrichment program in the next 4 days.  Next question I've said this before why would Assad pull a chemical attack on his own people when he knows consequences are around the corner.  This is classic false flag event by the Dark Forces unleashed.  Remember a false flag event describes covert operations designed to deceive in such a way that activities appear as though they are being carried out by a individual ,entities, groups, or nations other than those who actually planned and executed them.

In conclusion we need to put on our whole armour to fight and recognize their schemes "for our struggle is not against flesh and blood, but against the rulers, against the authorities, against the powers of this dark world and against the spiritual forces of evil for they the Deep State and other sinister elites do nothing without careful planning in false flag events.  So we are left with "THE CALM BEFORE THE WAVES OVERTAKE US'. essay written MARCH 26, 2018. Remember each wave of events will get bigger and bigger, the esclispe of August 21 over North America showed us Elohim has relinquished and abandoned the United States which he followed up with super moons in January including a super moon that turned into a Blood Red Moon.  Ole foolish Galatians (U.S.) who has bewitched you, the midnight hour is upon us.  Get Ready, get ready, get ready.

Thursday, April 5, 2018

CRASH N BURN


50 year s ago MLK said “ A time comes when silence is betrayal…the promise of hope for the poor, both black and white has been broken and eviscerated”  And He went on to say “Once to every man and nation comes the moment to decide  in the strife of Truth and Falsehood, for the good or evil side.” So I ask where do go from here. Hey people with your WILLFUL BLINDNESS,  we have ticking time bombs all over the place...volatility picking up steam, avalanches starting to roll, smoke screens all over the place, asset bubbles about to pop, infighting, bickering, finger pointing...It would be easy to assume that the Deep State, politicians and business leaders will suddenly wake up and do what’s right.  Unfortunately this will not happen.  We are headed for the big waterfall alias Crash n Burn and there is nothing that we can do about it.  The one certainty is that God is in control no matter what happens.  However knowing that God is in control does not remove us from our responsibility to do everything possible to change our circumstances and prepare ourselves for difficult times, because Faith without Works is dead. Remember I have seen the outcome.  The “WILLFULL BLINDNESS” arrogance, pride and lusts are going to drown most people as  wave after wave of events are going to happen, it will not be pretty, in the post called “The calm before the waves overtake us", written on 3/26/2018  tells the story for you naysayers and non Titanic believers.   
 Only 3 possible scenarios.  (1).  The Nation becomes great again and the good ole times of the nineties come back. (2.) Stagflation where our economy stays anemic while everything goes up around us (3). Complete bust.  Let’s take each point. Point by point.  I will not be using the new math of 1+1 = 3.  To make America great again requires recovery . not just here in the United States but in most industrial nations.  It requires real cash flows to service debts and expand, not fancy accounting tricks, not wars bringing on total destruction.  We’ve had low interest rates and abundant credit.  For the last 10 years interest rates have remained near Zero now they are reversing upwards, Credit is now starting to tighten up again, it requires real employment with people making real money, it’ requires the manufacturing base to come back to America, not farmed out to China the great imitators and other 3rd world countries.  In retrospect Trump got it a 3rd  right on tax cuts, it should have been expanded to give companies incentives to bring manufacturing back to the United States not this microwave mess where the numbers don’t add up plus no cuts in spending.  So since the “make America Great” scenario one is not going to happen then points 2 and 3 come into play “CRASH N BURN. 
See these things have happened before, take for example Germany after WW1, they printed money to pay war debts,  plundering the middle class and wiping out the value of savings and paving the way for Hitler. and WW2.  Another example were the money flows into the United States after WW1, like all the real estate cranes we see building new apartments, condos and commercial space.  Another example were the tariffs/trade wars before the Great Depression which we are doing again.   Another example is in California where  homes, building, bridges are built to withstand an earthquake up to a 8 magnitude earthquake. Remember the big earthquake that rocked the Bay area , homes, buildings and bridges collapsed.  The government and experts said it couldn't happened or what about the Titanic it sunk it was touted to be indestructible...NOT...The crowd is always a day late and a dollar short, the crowd is too puffed up in their own life and can’t see thru the forest for the trees, the crowd is complacent, the crowd doesn’t give a rats tail until it comes up and bites them in the ass.

Here's the facts:  Auto Sales 1st. GM just announced that they will report auto sales quarterly instead of monthly in an apparent stalling smoke screen, so they stall showing declining sales over the last 3 years.  I said earlier that interest rates are rising, right now the average car  payment is $515 for 70 months on a depreciatable asset. the average new vehicle loan hit a record high $31,099; ii) the average loan for a used auto climbed to a record high $19,589 and avg payback time is 64 months and $515 monthly.  Now the aggressive auto lenders are starting to slash car origination loans.  Next we have lease returns hitting the market next.
2nd.  The Real Estate market…Bet you can’t guess what area leads the nation of home price surge since the last housing bubble in 2008 thru 2017…It s Dallas/ Ft Worth Metro Area up an astounding 183%. From 82,00 to 284,000.  Out of the 20 fastest growing appreciation cities, Austin-114%, Arlington, Plano 94%, FT Worth 93%, Houston, 87%, Katy 87%,  six other in Florida even my old home town Nashville TN  is up 77% since last housing bubble in 2008.  The average starter home in Dallas is now 185,000 with only 800 homes for sale under 150,000 listed on the MLS.  Also can you imagine trying to buy in Manhattan in NY at 1,445,000 or San Francisco at $1,265,000
3rd Rental Market…Imagine living in San Francisco ..1 bedroom is $ 3,670 or NY City …$3,370 or 2 bedroom in San Francisco is $5,000 or NY City $3,980…Other selected markets for 1 bedroom rents…Atlanta $1,430, Nashville- 1,310, Dallas- $1,300, Houston- $1,290, Plano $1,120 but only $770 in Arlington, TX.
4th Let’s look at money needed to buy a home in selected markets:  Assumptions home 246K with 10% down payment…that’s 24K down,,, income needed 63,000…which is $2,625 on 24 pay periods minus fed income tax and social security tax  of $735 minus health insurance $450 = $1,440 take home every 2 weeks. ..interest rate now up to 4.4% and rising,,, monthly payment $1,232 which does not include property taxes and insurance…property taxes  Dallas County 2.18% per 1k = $5,363 or $446 monthly, insurance $1,954 or $163 monthly bringing monthly payment to $1,841 monthly…bear in mind TX insurance rates went up on average 6% and property taxes in Dallas County went from 1.85 to 2.18% this year, and will continue to go up as governments hunt for cash because they are broke.  Let’s break numbers down further this does not include electricity, water/sanitation costs.  More in dept look add car payments, car insurance, educational loans, credit card payments, cable/Internet, cell phone, food is $146 to $289 per week, gas for your car, other misc expenses kids clothes and gimme expenses.  WILD CARDS..TRUMPS TARIFFS/TRADE WAR AND WAR/SOVEREIGN DEBT DEFAULT CONTAGION STARTING IN EUROPE. BANK DEFAULTS, STOCK MARKET CRASH WORLDWIDE, BOND MARKET IMPLOSION, CREDIT DEFAULT SWAPS, DERIVATIVES IMPLOSION, CONSUMERS STOP SPENDING, INTEREST RATES RISE TO QUICKLY THEREBY CHOKING OFF BUSINESS AND MASS LAYOFFS ENSUE.
Just know everything is a cycle, then Newton’s 3 laws go into effect. As your Watchman is not for the feint of heart, the message unpopular mostly falling on deaf ears.  The simple job is I discern and report what I see and inform you the people whether it’s economic, political, social or religious and let you connect the dots.  Remember that things are interrelated and have happened before the playas change but the game remains the same.  Lastly We are now fast approaching the end game before the fall.  In 2nd Timothy 3 it states “that in the last days there will be very difficult times. 2For people will love only themselves and their money. They will be boastful and proud, scoffing at God, disobedient to their parents, and ungrateful. They will consider nothing sacred. 3They will be unloving and unforgiving; they will slander others and have no self-control; they will be cruel and have no interest in what is good. 4They will betray their friends, be reckless, be puffed up with pride, and love pleasure rather than God. 5They will act as if they are religious, but they will reject the power that could make them godly……in 2nd Timothy 4:5 it states 5But you should keep a clear mind in every situation.” So  don’t be  bamboozled, hoodwinked, manipulated or sheep being led to slaughter, the trumpets have sounded …Tick, tock, tick, tick, tick, tock.